13.5 Choosing a method

Method

Use when

Avoid when

Direct standardisation

comparing several populations with stable stratum rates, especially for presentation

strata are small or rates unstable

Indirect standardisation (SMR)

one small population against reference rates that are known well

comparing SMRs of populations with different structures

Inverse-variance pooling

a few large strata; meta-analysis of published estimates

many strata or zero cells

Mantel–Haenszel

any number of strata, large or small; a quick, robust summary

effect modification is present (report strata instead)

Conditional likelihood

matched or finely stratified data; several exposures

–

Regression (maximum likelihood)

several confounders, continuous variables, trends, effect modification

strata are sparse and modelled by separate intercepts

Whatever the method, three steps come first: look at the stratum-specific estimates, ask whether they are homogeneous enough to be summarised, and compare the adjusted with the crude estimate to judge the confounding. When the stratum estimates agree, the choice of method matters little, as Example 13.2.1 shows. When they disagree, no method rescues a single summary, as Example 13.3.1 shows. The methods differ seriously only with sparse data, where Mantel–Haenszel and conditional methods are the safe choice.

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