10.6 Practice problems

Problem 10.6.1. Explain how to generate the one-half fraction of the \(2^k\) design of the highest resolution, and give it for \(k = 4\).

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Solution. Use the defining relation \(I = ABC\cdots K\), with all \(k\) letters, which gives resolution \(k\). Write down the full \(2^{k-1}\) design in the first \(k - 1\) factors and set the level of the last factor in each run equal to the product of the levels of the others. For \(k = 4\), \(D = ABC\): the runs are \((1)\), \(ad\), \(bd\), \(ab\), \(cd\), \(ac\), \(bc\), \(abcd\), the \(2^{4-1}_{\mathrm {IV}}\) design with \(I = ABCD\).

Problem 10.6.2. A \(2^4\) experiment is to be run as a quarter fraction using \(ABC\) and \(BCD\) as defining contrasts.

(a)
Obtain the principal quarter fraction and its alias structure.
(b)
The full \(2^4\) was in fact run, with \((1) = 19\), \(a = 15\), \(b = 15\), \(ab = 18\), \(c = 15\), \(ac = 18\), \(bc = 17\), \(abc = 19\), \(d = 13\), \(ad = 18\), \(bd = 18\), \(abd = 18\), \(cd = 18\), \(acd = 19\), \(bcd = 18\) and \(abcd = 20\). Using only the runs of your quarter fraction, estimate the main effects \(A\), \(B\) and \(D\), and comment.

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Solution. (a) The runs with an even number of letters from both \(\{a, b, c\}\) and \(\{b, c, d\}\) are \((1)\), \(bc\), \(abd\), \(acd\), the principal block of the confounding scheme in Section 9. On them \(ABC = BCD = -\), so the defining relation is \(I = -ABC = -BCD = AD\), including the generalised interaction \(ABC \cdot BCD = AD\). The aliases are \begin {gather*} A = D = -BC = -ABCD , \\ B = ABD = -AC = -CD , \\ C = ACD = -AB = -BD . \end {gather*} The word \(AD\) has only two letters: the design has resolution II, and the main effects \(A\) and \(D\) are aliased with each other.

(b) The four responses are \((1) = 19\), \(bc = 17\), \(abd = 18\), \(acd = 19\). Each estimate is a contrast divided by \(2\): \begin {gather*} \hat A = \tfrac 12(18 + 19 - 19 - 17) = 0.5 , \\ \hat B = \tfrac 12(17 + 18 - 19 - 19) = -1.5 , \\ \hat D = \tfrac 12(18 + 19 - 19 - 17) = 0.5 . \end {gather*} The estimates of \(A\) and \(D\) are identical, because the \(A\) and \(D\) columns coincide on these runs: the design cannot distinguish the two factors at all. Choosing two three-factor interactions whose product is a two-factor interaction is sound for blocking, where the confounded effects are lost to blocks, but disastrous for fractionation, where the generalised interaction becomes a word of the defining relation. For a quarter fraction of a \(2^4\) the best possible is resolution II in any case, which is why such small fractions are rarely used with four factors.

Problem 10.6.3. Consider the \(2^{5-2}\) design with generators \(I = ABCD\) and \(I = CDE\).

(a)
Write down the complete alias structure, and find the resolution.
(b)
Obtain the principal quarter fraction and the remaining three quarter fractions.
(c)
The full \(2^5\) experiment gave the data below. Using the principal quarter fraction, estimate the effects \(A\), \(E\) and \(BD\).

\((1) = 21\) \(d = 33\) \(e = 30\) \(de = 29\)
\(a = 33\) \(ad = 29\) \(ae = 31\) \(ade = 36\)
\(b = 28\) \(bd = 30\) \(be = 33\) \(bde = 25\)
\(ab = 26\) \(abd = 27\) \(abe = 24\) \(abde = 29\)
\(c = 34\) \(cd = 22\) \(ce = 26\) \(cde = 31\)
\(ac = 34\) \(acd = 36\) \(ace = 26\) \(acde = 35\)
\(bc = 24\) \(bcd = 27\) \(bce = 35\) \(bcde = 27\)
\(abc = 25\) \(abcd = 36\) \(abce = 30\) \(abcde = 24\)

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Solution. (a) The generalised interaction is \(ABCD \cdot CDE = ABE\), so \(I = ABCD = CDE = ABE\), of resolution III. The alias sets are

\(A = BCD = ACDE = BE\)
\(B = ACD = BCDE = AE\)
\(C = ABD = DE = ABCE\)
\(D = ABC = CE = ABDE\)
\(E = ABCDE = CD = AB\)
\(AC = BD = ADE = BCE\)
\(AD = BC = ACE = BDE\)

(b) The four quarter fractions are given by the signs of \(ABCD\) and \(CDE\):

fraction runs
\(ABCD = +\), \(CDE = +\) \(ac\), \(bc\), \(ad\), \(bd\), \(e\), \(abe\), \(cde\), \(abcde\)
\(ABCD = +\), \(CDE = -\) \((1)\), \(ab\), \(cd\), \(abcd\), \(ace\), \(bce\), \(ade\), \(bde\)
\(ABCD = -\), \(CDE = +\) \(c\), \(abc\), \(d\), \(abd\), \(ae\), \(be\), \(acde\), \(bcde\)
\(ABCD = -\), \(CDE = -\) \(a\), \(b\), \(acd\), \(bcd\), \(ce\), \(abce\), \(de\), \(abde\)

The first is the principal fraction. (It does not contain \((1)\), because \(CDE\) has an odd number of letters and is \(-\) at \((1)\); the fraction containing \((1)\) is the second, \(I = ABCD = -CDE = -ABE\).)

(c) In the principal fraction the responses are \(ac = 34\), \(bc = 24\), \(ad = 29\), \(bd = 30\), \(e = 30\), \(abe = 24\), \(cde = 31\), \(abcde = 24\). Each estimate is the contrast divided by \(4\): \begin {align*} \hat A &= \tfrac 14\bigl [(34 + 29 + 24 + 24) - (24 + 30 + 30 + 31)\bigr ] = -4/4 = -1.0 , \\ \hat E &= \tfrac 14\bigl [(30 + 24 + 31 + 24) - (34 + 24 + 29 + 30)\bigr ] = -8/4 = -2.0 , \\ \widehat {BD} &= \tfrac 14\bigl [(34 + 30 + 30 + 31) - (24 + 29 + 24 + 24)\bigr ] \\ &= \tfrac 14(125 - 115) = 10/4 = 2.5 . \end {align*}

By the alias structure these estimate \(A + BE + BCD + ACDE\), \(E + AB + CD + ABCDE\) and \(BD + AC + ADE + BCE\); in particular the estimate of \(BD\) is equally an estimate of \(AC\).

Problem 10.6.4. A \(2^{3-1}_{\mathrm {III}}\) design with \(I = ABC\) gives estimates \(l_A\), \(l_B\), \(l_C\). The alternate fraction \(I = -ABC\) is then run, giving \(l_A'\), \(l_B'\), \(l_C'\). Show how to estimate the main effects free of two-factor interactions, and identify the resulting design.

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Solution. The first fraction estimates \(A + BC\), the second \(A - BC\) (Theorem 10.1.2). So \(\frac 12(l_A + l_A')\) estimates \(A\) and \(\frac 12(l_A - l_A')\) estimates \(BC\), and similarly for the others. For three factors the alternate fraction is also the full fold-over (reversing all three signs maps \(a\) to \(bc\), and so on), and the two fractions together form the full \(2^3\) design, in which nothing is aliased.

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