1.2 Objectives of time-series analysis
A major objective is to understand and describe the mechanism that generates the series. Because the observations are dependent, this mechanism can be exploited for:
- 1.
- Description: computing descriptive measures, and above all plotting the series, to characterise its main features.
- 2.
- Explanation: when observations are taken on two or more variables, using the variation in one series to explain the variation in another, for example rainfall and crop yield.
- 3.
- Prediction: forecasting future values from the past of the series.
- 4.
- Control: adjusting a process, especially in quality control in manufacturing, so that it stays on target.
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